Thursday, October 02, 2014

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Bargain-Hunting, Retail/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.07 -3.82%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.46 -.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.86 -2.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.27 -4.34%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 73.0 +52.08%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 -23.66%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -53.19% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.23 -2.49%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.46 +1.13%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.17 +1.27%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.66 -.29%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 281.03 -1.78%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 319.67 +1.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 190.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $77.50/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 11.40 -1.0 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -19.40 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -76 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +42 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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