Friday, October 03, 2014

Friday Watch

Evening Recommendations
Deutsche Bank:
  • Cut (AAPL) to Hold, target $102.
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to +.50% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 98.0 -1.0 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 71.75 +.25 basis point.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.39%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.20%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures  +.23%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Trade Deficit for August is estimated at -$40.8B versus -$40.5B in July. 
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for September is estimated at 215K versus 142K in August.
  • The Unemployment Rate for September is estimated at 6.1% versus 6.1% in August.
  • Average Hourly Earnings for September are estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in August.
9:45 am EST
  • Final US Services PMI for September is estimated at 58.5 versus a prior estimate of 58.5.
10:00 am EST
  • ISM Non-Manufacturing for September is estimated to fall to 58.5 versus 59.6 in August.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone Services PMI could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and real estate shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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