Monday, October 27, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets/Eurozone Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Technical Selling, Commodity/Construction Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.40 +1.74%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.96 -.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.31 -6.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.17 +1.86%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 126.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .97 +10.23%
  • NYSE Arms 1.70 +111.13% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.45 +.85%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.58 +.71%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.70 +2.16%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.24 -.90%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 259.94 +1.82%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 331.86 +.65%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 22.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 188.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $79.52/Metric Tonne -1.19%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.0 -5.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -40.50 -3.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.30 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -49 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/biotech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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