Thursday, November 13, 2014

Stocks Falling Slightly into Final Hour on Escalating Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Commodity/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.96 +7.22%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 150.90 +.59%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.08 +.62%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.65 +6.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 -42.64%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +17.50%
  • NYSE Arms 1.18 -.96% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.21 +1.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.26 +3.58%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.29 +1.96%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.74 +.47%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 280.98 +1.08%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 324.52 +.99%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.0 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 183.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $75.98/Metric Tonne -.29%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 13.30 -2.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -29.10 +.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.3 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +68 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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