Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Utility/Energy Sector Weakness
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 13.30 +3.94%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 150.01 -.54%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.0 -2.66%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.18 +3.65%
- ISE Sentiment Index 133.0 +64.20%
- Total Put/Call .81 -17.35%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.16 +.03%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 64.63 +2.24%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.69 +.20%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.85 +.79%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 278.20 +2.32%
- China Blended Corporate Spread Index 323.55 n/a
- 2-Year Swap Spread 21.25 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $76.20/Metric Tonne +.43%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 15.70 -.1 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -29.70 +.5 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.0 +3.5 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +58 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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