Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Utility/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.30 +3.94%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 150.01 -.54%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.0 -2.66%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.18 +3.65%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 133.0 +64.20%
  • Total Put/Call .81 -17.35%
  • NYSE Arms 1.27 +30.04% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.16 +.03%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 64.63 +2.24%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.69 +.20%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.85 +.79%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 278.20 +2.32%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 323.55 n/a
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 21.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 182.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $76.20/Metric Tonne +.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 15.70 -.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -29.70 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.0 +3.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +58 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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