Monday, November 03, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Commodity/Road & Rail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.72 +4.92%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.29 +.91%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.92 +2.46%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.12 +.48%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 86.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .81 +6.58%
  • NYSE Arms 1.12 +57.33% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.11 +.20%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.88 -.30%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.87 +.22%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.30 -.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 245.54 +3.30%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 322.35 -1.39%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.75 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 22.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 183.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $78.63/Metric Tonne -1.21%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 22.10 +4.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -28.80 +4.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.30 +2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.93 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +1,016 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +2 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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