Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, US Economic Data, Short-Covering, Retail/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.75 -1.50%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 154.60 -.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.11 +1.0%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.26 -9.30%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 109.0 +19.78%
  • Total Put/Call .92 -1.08%
  • NYSE Arms .97 +5.70% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.35 -.43%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.47 -.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.53 -2.0%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 66.27 +2.65%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 276.63 -.54%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 324.06 -.44%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 23.25 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.0 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 183.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $70.97/Metric Tonne +1.10%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 21.40 +10.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -37.0 -22.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -1.0 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -50 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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