Friday, November 14, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Biotech/Healthcare Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.70 -.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 152.08 +.85%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.14 +1.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.18 +1.50%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 138.0 +35.29%
  • Total Put/Call .88 -6.38%
  • NYSE Arms .82 -25.82% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.66 +.94%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.68 +2.19%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.41 +.42%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.53 -.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 283.12 +.95%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 323.84 -.18%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 181.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $75.47/Metric Tonne -.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 15.40 +2.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -26.40 +2.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.10 +2.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -30 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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