Friday, May 29, 2015

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Rising Global Growth Worries, Escalating Eurozone Debt Angst, Fed Rate Hike Fears, Transport/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.64 +2.48%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.30 +.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.37 -.21%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.60 +2.67%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 +24.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.16 +7.41%
  • NYSE Arms 1.18 +4.70% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.0 +.19%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,108.0 +1.71%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.51 +2.74%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.37 +5.84%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.63 +2.25%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 290.30 +.56%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.09 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.75 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.50 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 149.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.85/Metric Tonne -.77%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -54.20 +2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -13.90 -2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.4 -1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.83 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -132 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -124 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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