Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Long-Term Rates, European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Energy/Homebuilding Sector Weakness
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: About Even
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 13.49 +4.90%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.81 -.35%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.10 +.30%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.18 -.12%
- ISE Sentiment Index 69.0 -24.18%
- Total Put/Call .46 -45.88%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.76 +2.73%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,073.0 -.19%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 72.88 +1.50%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.59 -1.29%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.80 -.84%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 294.16 +.93%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.29 +.25%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 26.75 +.25 basis point
- TED Spread 27.5 +1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
- Yield Curve 166.0 +9.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $63.02/Metric Tonne +2.64%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -61.0 +3.3 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.5 -3.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.8 +1.3 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 unch.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating -1 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating -53 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs and emerging market shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long
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