Monday, May 11, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Long-Term Rates, European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Energy/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.49 +4.90%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.81 -.35%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.10 +.30%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.18 -.12%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 69.0 -24.18%
  • Total Put/Call .46 -45.88%
  • NYSE Arms 1.05 +44.54% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.76 +2.73%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,073.0 -.19%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 72.88 +1.50%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.59 -1.29%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.80 -.84%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 294.16 +.93%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.29 +.25%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.5 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 166.0 +9.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $63.02/Metric Tonne +2.64%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -61.0 +3.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.5 -3.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.8 +1.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -1 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -53 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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