Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially into Final Hour on Surging Eurozone Debt Angst, Fed Rate Hike Worries, Oil Decline, Commodity/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.50 +19.54%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.76 +.26%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.46 +1.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.05 +4.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call 1.11 +27.59%
  • NYSE Arms 1.47 +25.33% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.42 +.94%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,090.0 unch.
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.64 +3.99%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.73 +9.53%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.84 +.39%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 286.22 +1.53%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.95 +.28%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 27.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 152.0 -7.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.78/Metric Tonne +2.62%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -56.80 +5.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -11.20 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.4 -2.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 -5.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -72 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/tech/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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