Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Biotech/Energy Sector Strength
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
- Volume: Slightly Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 13.18 -12.89%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.21 -.51%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.10 -3.72%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.32 -2.66%
- ISE Sentiment Index 92.0 -8.0%
- Total Put/Call .82 -11.83%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.22 -4.04%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,075.0 +.63%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.94 -4.18%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.88 -3.74%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.21 +.01%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 291.15 -2.59%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.0 -.02%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 26.5 +.25 basis point
- TED Spread 26.5 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
- Yield Curve 157.0 +1.0 basis point
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.40/Metric Tonne +1.72%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -64.30 +.4 point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 14.2 -2.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.1 -3.2 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +336 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long
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