Thursday, May 21, 2015

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Lower Long-Term Rates, Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Bounce, Energy/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.25 -4.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.66 +.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.29 -.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.81 -1.44%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 -25.93%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +12.05%
  • NYSE Arms .83 -22.41% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.45 -1.31%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,106.0 +1.378%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.69 -2.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.68 -.89%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.71 -1.19%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 282.32 -2.15%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.57 +.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.50 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.25 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 161.0 -6.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.91/Metric Tonne +1.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -65.3 -1.0 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -11.70 -5.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.6 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +53 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +51 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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