Friday, May 22, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Fed Rate Hike Fears, Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Earnings Concerns, Road & Rail/Construction Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.99 -.99%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.77 -.54%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.06 -1.63%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.90 -1.27%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 140.0 +25.0%
  • Total Put/Call .88 -6.38%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 +16.26% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.79 +.63%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,090.0 -1.48%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.66 +2.86%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.68 -.87%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.31 +.02%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 286.13 +1.26%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.53 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 159.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.96/Metric Tonne +3.54%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -62.1 +3.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -11.10 +.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.2 -1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +135 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +158 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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