Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlook Concerns, European/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Tech/Defense Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.71 +3.76%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.68 +.80%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.20 -1.20%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.93 +1.70%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 78.0 -45.83%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +2.20%
  • NYSE Arms .92 -18.27% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.77 +1.38%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,530.0 +1.01%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.76 +1.95%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.11 +3.05%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.35 +1.97%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 299.92 -.49%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.46 +.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 27.5 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch
  • Yield Curve 166.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $52.10/Metric Tonne -.55%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -13.2 +1.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 9.2 +3.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.8 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.83 unch.
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.19 -.37
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -142 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -430 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -25 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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