Monday, July 13, 2015

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Greece Debt Deal, China Bounce, Short-Covering, Gaming/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.19 -15.69%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.97 -.77%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.83 -.90%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.59 -1.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 105.0 +32.91%
  • Total Put/Call .52 -48.0%
  • NYSE Arms .66 -27.98% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.69 -2.12%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,257.0 -.14%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.42 -6.26%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.38 -5.91%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.62 -2.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 297.45 -.37%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.76 +.44%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.5 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -18.75 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 176.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $50.30/Metric Tonne +.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -17.1 +4.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -2.7 +1.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.0 +3.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.32 -1.11
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +321 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -537 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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