Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Commodity Bounce, Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Transport/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.42 -13.97%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.67 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.23 -.22%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.98 -3.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 75.0 -9.64%
  • Total Put/Call .98 -19.01%
  • NYSE Arms .49 -59.82% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.02 -3.01%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,642.0 +.74%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.18 -1.40%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.87 +1.28%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.03 -2.08%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 318.72 -2.45%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.76 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.25 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -18.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 158.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.45/Metric Tonne +2.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -15.8 -5.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -3.4 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.9 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.75 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.46 +.23
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +60 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -48 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +36 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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