Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Lower Long-Term Rates, Technical Buying, Short-Covering, Biotech/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.98 -6.62%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.84 -.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.67 -1.25%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.79 +.29%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 -30.71%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 +87.72%
  • NYSE Arms .75 +20.33% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.95 -1.18%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,262.0 +.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.59 +1.58%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.98 -1.73%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.22 +.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 294.24 +.15%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.72 -.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 29.0 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -18.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 176.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $50.06/Metric Tonne -.48%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.9 -5.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -1.7 +1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.20 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.24 -.08
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +155 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -498 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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