Friday, July 24, 2015

Stocks Rerversing Sharply Lower into Afternoon on Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlook Concerns, Surging European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Biotech/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.17 +12.10%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.92 -.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.09 +4.24%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.73 -.75%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 66.0 -26.67%
  • Total Put/Call 1.29 +25.24%
  • NYSE Arms 1.71 +43.59% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.09 +3.63%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,621.0 +3.46%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.42 +3.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.08 +1.31%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.54 +3.53%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 320.65 +1.75%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.60 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.5 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 158.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.42/Metric Tonne -.58%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.4 -7.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -5.6 -14.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.5 -5.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.17 -.04
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -170 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -254 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -63 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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