Friday, July 31, 2015

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Global Growth Fears, China Bubble-Bursting Worries, Commodity Declines, Energy/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.32 +1.57%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.44 +.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.40 +1.95%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.98 +1.13%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 -8.14%
  • Total Put/Call .99 +32.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.75 +30.86% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.14 -1.54%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,582.0 +.64%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.67 -1.77%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.39 +1.87%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.94 +.80%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 316.90 +1.23%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.08 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.5 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 153.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.41/Metric Tonne -4.01%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -15.4 +.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 7.1 +3.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.4 +1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.75 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 4.76 -.52
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -35 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -309 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +2 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/retail/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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