Thursday, July 16, 2015

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Earnings Optimism, Technical Buying, Tech/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.97 -9.52%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.10 -.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.33 -.95%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.22 -.15%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 116.0 +30.34%
  • Total Put/Call .88 -8.33%
  • NYSE Arms 1.39 +10.81% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.37 -3.12%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,276.0 -.22%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.55 -4.61%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.58 -6.85%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.13 -.99%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 297.35 -2.75%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.894 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 27.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 169.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $50.66/Metric Tonne +.22%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.8 +.7 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -.3 +.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.30 -.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 unch.
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.53 -.04
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +109 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -184 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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