Monday, October 03, 2016

Stocks Lower into Close on Fed Rate-Hike Fears, Rising European Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Healthcare/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.79 +3.76%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 118.98 unch.
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.30 -1.5%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.38 -.52%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 149.0 +56.84%
  • Total Put/Call 1.04 +6.12%
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 +25.1
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.06 -.99%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 646.0 +.92%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 104.44 +3.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.83 -12.91%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.97 +.63%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 233.62 -.96%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.30 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.5 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 59.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -58.75 -3.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.08 +.15%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .30% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 83.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.86/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.60 -.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 4.30 +1.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.50 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.63% +3.0 basis points
  • 60.9% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 14 meeting, 63.4% chance at Feb. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +41 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +16 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: