Friday, January 06, 2017

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Economic Optimism, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Tech/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.28 -3.34%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.76 +.75%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.10 -1.94%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.96 -1.67%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 60.0 -37.50%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -22.61%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 +15.04%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.07 +.26%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 422.0 -.69%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.50 +.36%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.65 -1.45%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.73 +1.32%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 229.22 +.83%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.90 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.0 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 49.75 +1.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -46.75 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.98 -.41%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .51% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 120.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $76.25/Metric Tonne -3.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 27.0 -1.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 71.10 +10.5 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.0 +2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.98% unch.
  • 34.8% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 47.8% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +186 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +44 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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