Monday, October 16, 2017

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Tax Reform Hopes, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Financial/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.88 +2.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.96 +.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.11 +.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 15.47 -1.28%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 730 -32.4%
  • Total Put/Call 1.21 +42.35%
  • NYSE Arms .96 -15.34%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 54.36 -.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 394.0 +.03%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.74 +.12%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 4.99 -2.06%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.1 +.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.75 +.11%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 144.43 +1.49%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -40.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.84 +.66%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 77.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.94/Metric Tonne +.66%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 2.50 -1.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 55.40 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 20.10 -2.2 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 -1.0 basis point
  • 80.4% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 13 meeting, 81.5% chance at Jan. 31 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +135 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

No comments: