Friday, October 06, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Profit-Taking, Oil Decline, Technical Selling, Energy/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.91 +7.83%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.83 +.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.96 +2.45%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 18.87 +17.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 102.0 -10.5%
  • Total Put/Call .83 unch.
  • NYSE Arms .82 +5.57%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 54.20 +1.24%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 399.0 -.48%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 60.2 +1.79%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 5.43 -.28%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.42 -8.78%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 178.82 +1.17%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 141.87 -.26%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -39.75 -7.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.36 -.30%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 86.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.24/Metric Tonne +1.24%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 3.40 -9.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 45.80 +4.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 17.90 +.8 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 +1.0 basis point
  • 79.1% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 13 meeting, 79.9% chance at Jan. 31 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +5 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +403 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -6 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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