Friday, October 13, 2017

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Energy/Technology Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.63 -2.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.84 -.37%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.09 -.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 16.05 -6.58%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 125.0 +71.2%
  • Total Put/Call .84 -.2%
  • NYSE Arms .88 -42.12%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 54.55 -1.49%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 396.0 -1.28%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.58 -1.1%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 5.10 +4.3%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.09 -.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.90 -.22%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 142.30 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 -2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 29.25 +.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -41.0 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.93 +.38%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 78.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.53/Metric Tonne +4.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 3.90 -3.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 55.70 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 22.30 -1.1 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 -3.0 basis points
  • 76.9% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 13 meeting, 77.8% chance at Jan. 31 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +110 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +44 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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