Tuesday, October 31, 2017

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 74.75 -.75 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 15.75 +.5 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.53 -.03%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.14%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.25%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (AGN)/4.04
  • (EAT)/.43
  • (BG)/.74
  • (CLX)/1.42
  • (CTSH)/.95
  • (EL)/.97
  • (HMC)/64.41
  • (GRMN)/.66
  • (ICPT)/-3.41
  • (TAP)/1.87
  • (PBI)/.43
  • (RDC)/-.40
  • (STE)/.94
  • (ZBH)/1.74
  • (ALL)/.83
  • (BOJA)/.17
  • (CZR)/1.75
  • (CF)/-.54
  • (CAKE)/.60
  • (EFX)/1.49
  • (FB)/1.28
  • (FLS)/.34
  • (GPRO)/.02
  • (HBI)/.60
  • (KHC)/.82
  • (MET)/.92
  • (PRU)/2.71
  • (QCOM)/.81
  • (RGLD)/.37
  • (SHAK)/.15
  • (SYMC)/.43
  • (TSLA)/-2.30
  • (RIG)/-.06
  • (WMB)/.19
  • (YELP)/.22
Economic Releases 
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for October is estimated to rise to 196K versus 135K in September.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Manufacturing Index for October is estimated to fall to 59.4 versus 60.8 in September.
  • The ISM Prices Paid for October is estimated to fall to 67.8 versus 71.5 in September.
  • Construction Spending MoM for September is estimated to fall -.2% versus a +.5% gain in August.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -877,250 barrels versus a +856,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -1,315,500 barrels versus a -5,465,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -2,130,140 barrels versus a -5,246,000 barrel decline prior. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.86% versus a +3.3% gain prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • The FOMC is expected to leave the benchmark Fed Funds rate at 1.0-1.25%.
Afternoon
  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for October are estimated to fall to 17.5M versus 18.47M in September.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The FOMC policy update, China Manufacturing PMI report, Full Tax Bill released by Congress, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, (COST)/(ZUMZ) monthly sales results, (F) October sales conference call, (FB)/(TWTR) testimony to Congress on Russia and the (BGG) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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