Thursday, May 02, 2019

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 65.0 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 40.75 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.27 -.04%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.21%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.12%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (AXL)/.34
  • (AMT)/1.68
  • (DISH)/.65
  • (FCAU)/.50
  • (ITT)/.84
  • (NWL)/.06
  • (RUTH)/.45
  • (SGMS)/-.05
  • (VFC)/.59
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for April is estimated to fall to 190K versus 196K in March.
  • The Unemployment Rate for April is estimated at 3.8% versus 3.8% in March.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for April is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.1% gain in March.
  • The Advance Goods Trade Balance for March is estimated at -$73.0B versus -$70.9B in Feb. 
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for March are estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in Feb. 
  • Retail Inventories MoM for March are estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.3% gain in Feb.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for April is estimated to rise to 57.0 versus 56.1 in March.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Williams speaking, Fed's Bullard speaking, Fed's Clarida speaking and the Eurozone PPI report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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