Wednesday, February 05, 2020

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on US Economic Data, Diminished Coronavirus Fears, Oil Gain, Energy/Healthcare Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.3 -4.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.25 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.49 -1.37%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.29 +1.38%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 101.0 +24
  • Total Put/Call .90 +8.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 +72.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 45.54 -4.6%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 635.0 -.75%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 49.31 -3.53%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.25 -2.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 52.82 -4.13%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 184.24 -1.32%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 170.03 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.75 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.25 +2.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.56 -.01%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.55% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .19 +2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 78.40 USD/Metric Tonne -3.22%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.20 +17.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 13.0 -4.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.4 +.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.66 +2.0 basis points
  • 22.2% chance of Fed April 29th meeting, 38.4% chance of cut at June 10th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +386 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +78 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/retail/medical/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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