Tuesday, February 04, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.5% to +1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 54.5 -1.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 36.0 -3.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.49 -.13%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.26%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.13%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.11%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (ABB)/.23
  • (BMI)/.42
  • (BSX)/.44
  • (CG)/.44
  • (ENR)/.97
  • (GM)/.01
  • (HUM)/2.19
  • (MRK)/1.15
  • (BTU)/-.92 
After the Close:
  • (UHAL/3.8
  • (AVB)/2.41
  • (CTS)/1.04
  • (COHR)/.77
  • (FEYE)/.04
  • (FLO)/.18
  • (CTSH)/1.04
  • (COHR)/.77
  • (FOXA)/-.01
  • (IAC)/1.88
  • (IRBT)/.52
  • (MET)/1.38
  • (ORLY)/4.27
  • (PTON)/-.31
  • (QCOM)/.86
  • (SAVE)/1.20
  • (TWLO)/.01
  • (WERN)/.60
  • (YUMC)/.17
  • (ZNGA)/.06
Economic Releases 
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change report for Jan. is estimated to fall to 158K versus 202K in Dec.
8:30 am EST
  • The Trade Balance for Dec. is estimated at -$48.2B versus -$43.1B in Nov.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for Jan. is estimated to rise to 55.1 versus 55.0 in Dec.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +2,837,910 barrels versus a +3,548,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +1,736,300 barrels versus a +1,203,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -243,900 barrels versus a -1,289,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.1% versus a -3.3% decline prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone Services PMI report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, (M) investor day and the (COST) Jan. sales results could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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