Friday, December 04, 2020

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Vaccine Hopes, Short-Covering, Energy/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.8 -2.1%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,564.0 +100.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.90 +.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.4 +1.2%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.7 unch.
  • ISE Sentiment Index 119.0 -21.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .65 unch.
  • NYSE Arms .88 -15.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.11 +.79%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 635.79 -1.7%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 54.55 -4.4%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 117.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.07 -.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 158.85 -1.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 182.04 +.35%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 -2.25 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  70.5 -.5 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.13 +.7%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% unch.
  • Yield Curve 75.75 -2.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 144.10 USD/Metric Tonne +2.7%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 74.30 -.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 136.7 +1.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 60.30 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +74 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -31 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: