Wednesday, August 25, 2021

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Diminished Virus Lockdown Fears, Declining Fed Taper Worries, Oil Gain, Financial/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.7 -3.1%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,875.0 +167.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.62 +.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.8 -.9%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.8 +2.4%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 135.0  +17.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .76 +10.1%
  • NYSE Arms .91 +54.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 47.96 -1.1%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 432.79 -2.2%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.64 -.3%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 108.0 +3.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 71.71 -.91%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 158.56 -.8%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 38.4 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 8.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 +.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  74.0 -.5 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 72.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.80 +.10%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 154.95 USD/Metric Tonne +1.3%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -48.0 -.7 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -13.3 -5.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 31.4 -2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.35 +4.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 15th meeting
US Covid-19:
  • 321 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total) +1/100K people
  • 60% of Jan. 7th, 2021 peak(highest daily avg. new infections) unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +101 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +10 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -7 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/industrial/consumer discretionary sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

No comments: