S&P 500 4,338.9 -2.8% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 34,124.6 -1.5%
- NASDAQ 13,285.6 -3.1%
- Russell 2000 1,781.37 -3.7%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,352.5 -4.8%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 31.59 -9.1%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 136.91 -6.9%
- Wilshire 5000 43,239.8 -2.6%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,693.20 -3.25%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,516.96 -2.44%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 746.99 -1.31%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,225.7 -1.86%
- NYSE Technology 3,577.73 -4.4%
- Transports 15,037.86 -2.0%
- Utilities 876.64 -1.9%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 86.36 +.03%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 38.63 -1.52%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 191.59 -.85%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 103.78 +.45%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 457,881 -1.4%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 9.8 +36.1%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -835 -753
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -35.8 -22.5%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 326,871 +9.2%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,791,696 +5.2%
- Total Put/Call 1.02 +.99%
- OEX Put/Call 1.42 -16.9%
- ISE Sentiment 92.0 -5.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.11 +26.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 72.2 -.96%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .29 -22.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .06 -41.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 16.8 +17.3%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .44% -53.7%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 26.1 +21.5%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.9 +.50%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.30 -.95%
- Smart Money Flow Index 12,360.17 +.12%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 54.3 -3.7
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.636 Trillion -.12%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$17.876 Million
- AAII % Bulls 31.3 -9.0%
- AAII % Bears 34.6 +18.5%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 285.93 -1.3%
- Crude Oil 89.98/bbl. -1.92%
- Reformulated Gasoline 257.57 -5.5%
- Natural Gas 2.62 -.95%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 39.79 euros/megawatt-hour +9.0%
- Heating Oil 332.3 -2.4%
- Newcastle Coal 157.5 (1,000/metric ton) -4.6%
- Gold 1,925.7 +.14%
- Silver 23.58 +2.3%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 408.7 -1.4%
- Copper 369.7 -2.6%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 375.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.8%
- China Iron Ore Spot 120.3 USD/Metric Tonne -.77
%
- CME Lumber 488.0 -2.5%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,587.04 -1.9%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 332.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +4.86% -8.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 23.4% -2.9 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.40 +48.2%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 179.0 +93.3%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 500 reporting) +9.5% +2.3 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 239.55 +.55: Growth
Rate +9.0% +.3 percentage point, P/E 18.1 -.8
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.13% -1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 247.29 +15.43: Growth Rate +8.4% +9.3 percentage points, P/E 27.9 -3.9
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 54.9 -9.9 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -53.0 +15.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.6 -3.6 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 72.6%(-1.1 percentage points) chance of no
change, 27.4%(+1.1 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 11/1
- US Dollar Index 105.48 +.16%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,672.0 -.32%
- Bitcoin/USD 26,590.6 +.65%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 167.88 +.39%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -67.5 +4.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.43% +11.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.988 Trillion -.93%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $3.183 Billion +46.1%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 49.2 +2.2% (new series)
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 198.2 +5.3%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 186.0 +7.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.5 +8.5%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 79.5 +13.4%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 182.1 +9.8%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 56.6 +18.7%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.55 +14.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.0 +.07%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 82.82 -5.1%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.9% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +4.3% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.95% -5.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.69% -1.0 basis point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.37% +2.0 basis points
- TED Spread 19.0 -3.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -9.75 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 -.5 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 71.7 +14.0%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 184.0 +8.6%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 318.0 -44.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 788.08 +10.9%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 293.63 +11.5%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 212.33 +4.4%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 167.0 unch.
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 906.0 -16.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .79 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.7% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,183.8 +2.0%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 217,000 -3.5%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.4 +7.1%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.75% +24.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 192,100 +5.4%
- Weekly Retail Sales +4.1% -20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -7.0% -1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross YoY $73.8M +9.1%
- Nationwide Gas $3.86/gallon -.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,569.0 +13.6%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 871.80 -.39%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.5 +22.2%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 43.2 +4.6%
- Rail Freight Carloads 257,067 +12.1%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,638,133 +33.4%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value -2.2%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth -3.4%
Leading Sectors
- Education +1.9%
- Shipping +1.8%
- Healthcare Providers +1.5%
- Insurance +1.0%
- Computer Services +.7%
Lagging Sectors
- Electric Vehicles -5.1%
- Digital Health -5.5%
- Regional Banks -5.8%
- Gambling -7.7%
- Alt Energy -8.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (9)
- ATEX, MRTX, TNGX, HPK, VC, LPG, SGEN, WDC and PETQ
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (11)
- WBD, UTZ, PARA, GEL, AFRM, ICPT, RILY, ING, HTZ, SCHL and MORF
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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