S&P 500 4,316.6 +.69% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 33,487.1 -.11%
- NASDAQ 13,459.3 +1.7%
- Russell 2000 1,749.1 -1.9%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,622.2 +3.4%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 31.4 -2.0%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 131.1 -5.8%
- Wilshire 5000 42,973.3 +.34%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,736.5 +2.2%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,478.60 -1.3%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 705.1 -3.1%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,247.63 +1.82%
- NYSE Technology 3,680.3 +2.2%
- Transports 14,873.7 -.66%
- Utilities 799.61 -2.1%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 86.16 -.81%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 37.97 -.40%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 190.98 -.36%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 103.06 -.57%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 450,363 -1.17%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 7.5 -26.5%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -690 -105
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -40.2 -6.5%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 469,051 +6.6%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,750,559 +3.4%
- Total Put/Call 1.0 -4.8%
- OEX Put/Call 1.44 +21.1%
- ISE Sentiment 99.0 +1.0 point
- NYSE Arms .58 -42.06%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 71.8 +.28%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .13 +7.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -13.0 +60.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 17.4 -.17%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.88% +30.3%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 25.5 -4.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.07 +.25%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.82 +2.9%
- Smart Money Flow Index 11,791.48 +.42%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 36.2 -6.8
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.708 Trillion +1.1%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$1.065 Million
- AAII % Bulls 30.1 +8.3%
- AAII % Bears 41.6 +1.7%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 274.6 -3.5%
- Crude Oil 82.8/bbl. -9.2%
- Reformulated Gasoline 219.31 -8.4%
- Natural Gas 3.33 +13.5%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 38.2 euros/megawatt-hour -10.1%
- Heating Oil 289.45 -13.8%
- Newcastle Coal 138.9 (1,000/metric ton) -13.0%
- Gold 1,833.8 -.88%
- Silver 21.61 -2.7%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 400.2 -4.8%
- Copper 363.55 -2.7%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 369.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.6%
- China Iron Ore Spot 115.5 USD/Metric Tonne -2.6
%
- CME Lumber 490.0 -2.6%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,562.5 +.71%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 347.5 USD/Short Ton +1.5%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +4.86% -6.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 24.3% +.9 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.83 +12.9%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 38.3 -66.5%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(20 of 500 reporting) +3.4% +1.9 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 240.01 +.51: Growth
Rate +9.2% +.2 percentage point, P/E 17.7 -.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.20% +6.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 265.33 +1.42: Growth Rate +60.0% +.8 percentage point, P/E 28.1 +.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 59.7 +14.6 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -43.3 +10.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.5 +3.6 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 70.7%(-9.2 percentage points) chance of no
change, 29.3%(+9.2 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 11/1
- US Dollar Index 106.08 -.06%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,661.1 -.47%
- Bitcoin/USD 27,944.2 +3.1%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 168.5 +.31%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -31.25 +17.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.77% +21.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.920 Trillion -.58%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $3.491 Billion +7.4%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.88 -5.7%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 205.78 +.66%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 203.0 +9.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 32.01 +6.4%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 89.15 +7.9%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 193.74 +3.2%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 59.08 +6.1%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.2 +13.3%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.7 -.4%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 75.2 -1.9%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.9% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +4.3% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.73% unch.: CPI YoY +3.69% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.31% -3.0 basis points
- TED Spread 16.75 -4.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -9.5 -2.0 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.25 +7.25 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 76.04 +3.7%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 208.0 +12.7%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 383.0 +41.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 100.29 +9.8%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 328.70 +8.6%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 233.39 +4.3%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 177.0 +5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 910.0 +3.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .84 +5.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.7% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,201.7 +.6%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 208,750 -1.2%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.7 -1.5%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.86% +9.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 178,200 -6.0%
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.9% -10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -2.0% +3.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $83.7M +4.0%
- Nationwide Gas $3.75/gallon -.08/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,827.0 +7.4%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 851.96 n/a
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 22.5 -18.2%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 40.6 n/a
- Rail Freight Carloads 264,166 +2.2%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,863,860 +25.4%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +1.9%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value -2.4%
Leading Sectors
- Disk Drives +3.4%
- Software +2.8%
- Healthcare Providers +1.6%
- Semis +1.1%
- Computer Services +1.1%
Lagging Sectors
- Electric Vehicles -4.0%
- Energy -4.8%
- Foods -4.9%
- Oil Service -5.1%
- Alt Energy -7.1%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (37)
- CYTK,
OSTK, ODD, PXD, PDD, BILL, CYBR, ZS, CRWD, MGM, CRK, NTNX, AR, RRC,
PETQ, WYNN, MKTX, CNK, PLTR, NUVL, CRDO, VERX, SPHR, VKTX, NEM, PINS,
NABL, IDXX, DAVA, MMYT, QLYS, AMD, KMPR, VMC, MLM and LLY
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (9)
- MDLZ, CCK, DCPH, BIPC, CHD, DPZ, WING, PHG and AEHR
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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