Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 7,632.4 -.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 52,277.4 +.5%

• NASDAQ 25,975.0 -.5%

• Russell 2000 2,774.7 +1.9%

• NYSE FANG+ 18,248.9 -1.7%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 274.4 +1.6%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 34.32 -.8%

• Wilshire 5000 75,104.7 -.2%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,824.2 -1.3%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,532.0 +.6%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 986.8 +.3%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 262.7 -.2% 
  

• NYSE Technology 9,155.9 -.8%

• Transports 20,075.9 +.6%

• Utilities 1,096.9 +1.2%

• MSCI Europe Banks 122.9 -4.8%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 61.9 -1.1%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 261.8 -.7%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 136.6 -.9%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 611,840 +.04%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.7 -23.6%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -697 +31

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -11.9 +4.0%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 100,343 +1.3%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,900,979 +.6%

• Total Put/Call .91 -4.3%

• OEX Put/Call .32 -61.5%

• Equity Put/Call .80 -4.9%

• NYSE Arms .80 +1.3%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 126.1 +2.1%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .79 -29.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.18 -27.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 19.9 +.3%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .63 -61.5%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 15.4 +11.2%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.80 +2.4%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.41 +1.0%

• Smart Money Flow Index 18,364.6 -2.0%
• CFTC Weekly Equity Positioning Sentiment Gauge(0-100) 45.0 +5.0

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.945 Trillion +.3%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$479.392 Million

• AAII % Bulls 36.9 -4.7%

• AAII % Bears 45.8 +10.1%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 21.0 (Moved to EXTREME FEAR from FEAR) -24.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 414.98 -.6%

• Crude Oil 103.1/bbl. +1.1%

• Reformulated Gasoline 320.6 -.8%

• Natural Gas 2.62 -14.8%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 87.1 USD/Megawatt -3.1% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 93.3 euros/megawatt-hour +5.9%
  

• Heating Oil 498.7 +2.0% 
• Newcastle Coal 154.5 (1,000/metric ton) -.2%

• Gold 3,995.7 -4.0%
• Silver 54.0 -5.3%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 173.1 +.6%

• Copper 650.4 -.9%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 394.5 USD/Metric Tonne +1.5%

• China Iron Ore Spot 90.3 USD/Metric Tonne -1.4%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 17,425.0 USD/metric tonne n/a
• Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index .96(price per million tokens) -.4% 
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR5 16Gb 1Gx16 52.22 +2.0%  

• CME Lumber 519.5 -2.1%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,535.1 -2.0%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 345.0 USD/Short Ton -.7%
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 435.0 USD/Short Ton +1.5%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Forecast +3.5% -10.0 basis points

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 11.1 +.8 percentage point

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 3.3 +10.3%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 248.7 -27.4% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 67.0 -2.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 25.0% -20.0 percentage points

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 258.6 +73.3%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .6 +.1
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(122 of 500 reporting) +38.0% -9.3 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 412.05 +3.57:  Growth Rate +25.5% +.6 percentage point, P/E 18.6 -.3
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 16.37% +6.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(3 of 10 reporting) +499.8% -513.3 percentage points
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 1,093.4 +1.91: Growth Rate +62.8% +.3 percentage point, P/E 16.7 -.9

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.4 -.7 point

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 11.7 -31.7 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 28.0 -3.2 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.5-3.75%, 90.6%(+6.1 percentage points) chance of no change, 9.4%(-6.1 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.0-4.25% on 10/28

• US Dollar Index 101.8 +.02%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,930.8 +.03%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 81,412 +.8%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 201.57 -1.1%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.08 -.4%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 30.25 -5.0 basis points

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.99% -11.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.84% -18.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.707 Trillion -.03%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $8.935 Billion -21.0%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.3 +4.9%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 196.8 +2.9%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 123.0 +17.0 basis points
• France Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 103.2 +30.5% 
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.8 +7.4%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.0 +4.7%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 120.0 +.7%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 59.5 +8.4%
• Saudi Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 76.3 +10.4%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.5 +3.9%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.49 -.44%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 119.3 -.1%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.4% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.9% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.5% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.9% -10.0 basis points
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.05% unch.: CPI YoY +3.75% -2.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.69 -31.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.35 -1.0 basis point

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 25.0 -5.0 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -14.5 -.5 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.25 -1.25 basis points

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 63.9 +2.7% 
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 65.4 -2.0%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 148.0 -1.2%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 472.9 -2.4% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 279.0 +42.0

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 77.88 +9.2%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 171.1 +5.3%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 123.0 unch.
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 558.0 unch.
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .53 +4.0 basis points

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +5.7% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,502.6B +1.5%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 197,750 -.5%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.1 -1.7%

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.45% -7.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 188,600 -5.3%

• Weekly Retail Sales +9.70% -70.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +10.0% +1.0 percentage point
• Box Office Weekly Gross $122.7M -7.7%

• Nationwide Gas $4.29/gallon -.04/gallon 
• Nationwide Diesel $6.32/gallon -.01/gallon 

• Baltic Dry Index 2,693.0 +7.3%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,585.1/40 ft Box +2.2%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,876.3 -2.4%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 485.0 -11.8%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 93.6 +.3%

• Rail Freight Carloads 308,015 +1.9%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,781,103 +21.8% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 86.0 +.2 point
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 42.0% -1.0 percentage point

Best Performing Style

• Small-Cap Growth +1.9%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -1.3%

Leading Sectors

• Computer Services +9.1%

• Cyber Security +7.2%
• Software +5.8%

• Oil Service +4.7%
  

• Regional Banks +4.0%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Semis -2.8%

• Electric Vehicles -3.6%
  

• Nuclear -4.4%

• Lithography/Photonics -4.5%
  

• Gold & Silver -7.8%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (44)

• RHI, GMAB, CCI, SAIL, NE, CUBI, NTSK, NET, ZLAB, HSAI, WFRD, SLB, SIGI, CRWD, VG, OSPN, ZS, SDRL, CLF, VIST, REPX, EQNR, HAL, APPN, VTOL, APA, KRC, REXR, DVN, QLYS, VET, NICE, E, CHKP, COLB, CBOE, PAA, GFL, TALO, OXY, SSL and AMT

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (48)

• KN, CR, ECG, IHG, STRL, GGG, MEI, AXP, FIGR, NCLH, HWM, PPTA, WH, VSEC, SGHC, LOAR, MGM, MET, MRTN, MMYT, CBRE, CRBG, PENN, GNTX, EQH, TMUS, STC, DECK, T, ENVA, AXSM, KNSL, KALU, GL, KRUS, VC, CRDO, NAMS, WGS, FIX, FLG, SLM, BE, CORT and LKQ

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change