Sunday, December 07, 2025

Monday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business   
  • @Zerohedge
  • @CNBC
  • @WSJ.com
  • @Barron's 
  • Had bullish commentary on (CASY) and (WY).
  • @GatewayPundit
  • @MarioNawful
  • @EmeraldRobinson
  • @disclosetv
  • @TheSCIF
  • @newstart_2024 
  • The most dangerous 77 seconds ever recorded by a psychiatrist just broke containment again. Thomas Szasz, the man the entire profession tried to erase, looked straight into the camera and said: “We do not have an epidemic of mental illness. We have an epidemic of psychiatry.” Too fat → illness. Too thin → illness. Too happy, too sad, too much sex, too little sex → all illnesses. No free will, no responsibility left — only “chemical imbalances” fixed by products you can advertise on TV while alcohol cannot. This forgotten 1:17 clip is now exploding across every timeline for a reason. Watch the forbidden interview while it’s still up. (video)
  • @BreannaMorello
  • @FreeStateWill
  • @TonySeruga
  • @PatrickByrne
  • @barnes_law
  • @Globalsurv
  • @LaraLogan
  • @jsolomonReports
  • @RenzTom
  • @Real_RobN
  • @ValerieAnne1970 
  • @hodgetwins
  • @pepesgrandma
  • @ElofsonJess
  • @DowdEdward
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.75 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 42.25 -.5 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 102.6 USD/Metric Tonne -.8%.
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.80 +.1% 
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.19 +.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 95.3 +.1%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.13% unch. 
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.39% +3.0 basis points. 
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 19.3 +.1%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.1%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.12%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.19%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.

Friday, December 05, 2025

Evening Headlines

Around X:

  • @Business 
  • @Zerohedge 
  • @WSJ
  • @MarioNawfal
  • BILL GATES WANT YOUR VAX STATUS, INCOME, RELIGION & LOCATION DIGITALLY LINKED FOR LIFE. The World Health Organization just dropped its blueprint for a global digital ID system that tracks you from birth to death - funded by none other than the Gates Foundation. Newborns would be auto-enrolled in national vaccine databases, tagged with personal info like income, religion, and ethnicity. Every doctor visit, home check-up, or school enrollment becomes a checkpoint. Your jab record? Tied to whether you can go to school, catch a flight, or access public services. Their words, not ours: “Digital records and certificates are traceable and shareable.” Translation? Enforceable. They want AI to “combat misinformation” and “target the unreached.” That’s code for automating propaganda and tracking the non-compliant. The WHO even brags about global data-sharing standards - so your health file follows you anywhere. Vaccine passports go international. Oh, and at the bottom of this Orwellian wishlist? The fine print: “This work was supported by the Gates Foundation.” Digital ID, AI surveillance, and forced compliance - brought to you by the same folks who can't patch Windows without 3 updates and a crash.
  • ACCUSED CHINESE SPY BRAGGED THAT HOCHUL WAS "MUCH MORE OBEDIENT" THAN CUOMO IN TEXTS TO BEIJING OFFICIALS. This is what foreign infiltration looks like. Bombshell evidence from the Linda Sun corruption trial reveals the accused Chinese agent texted Beijing consular officials that then-Lt. Governor Kathy Hochul was "much more obedient" than Governor Cuomo. "The deputy governor listens to me more than the governor does," Sun wrote to Chinese Consul General Huang Ping in January 2021, complete with a grinning emoji. 
  • FORMER FDA CHIEF: YES, THE BIDEN ADMIN WITHHELD HEART RISK DATA ON COVID VACCINES. Former Biden FDA Commissioner Robert Califf just admitted what many suspected: the Biden administration sat on critical safety data showing heart inflammation risks, especially in young men, from COVID vaccines. The data flagged elevated rates of myocarditis, but instead of alerting the public, officials delayed and deflected. Califf now says they “should have communicated faster,” but that’s little comfort for parents whose teenage sons were told the shots were “safe and effective” with no mention of cardiac risks. This wasn't a messaging glitch, but a deliberate choice to keep Americans in the dark during a public health campaign. (video) 
  • EX-CIA OFFICER: “THEY CAN MAKE YOU DRIVE INTO A TREE AND CALL IT SUICIDE”. John Kiriakou, once inside the CIA, just reignited a massive debate about digital privacy, citing the 2017 Vault 7 leaks. Phones, cars, TVs, laptops - he says none of them are as private as we assume. “There was a dramatic leak in 2017 that the CIA came to call the Vault 7 disclosures - gigabytes worth of documents leaked by a CIA technology engineer. What he told us was that the CIA can intercept anything from anyone. They can remotely take control of your car to make you drive off a bridge into a tree to make you kill yourself and make it look like an accident. They can take over your smart television and turn the speaker into a microphone so that they can listen to what's being said in the room even when the TV is turned off.” (video) 
  • COSTCO NOMINATES BIDEN'S COMMERCE SECRETARY TO BOARD WHILE SUING TRUMP OVER TARIFFS. SUBTLE. Costco announced today it has nominated Gina Raimondo, Biden's Commerce Secretary for all four years, to its board of directors. Raimondo oversaw U.S. trade policy at Commerce and was Rhode Island's Democratic governor before that. The timing is remarkable.
  • @LauraLoomer
  • @TheIntelSCIF
  • @GenFlynn
  • @RenzTom
  • @mrddmia
  • @LauraLogan
  • @ABridgen
  • @JesseKellyDC
  • Our conservative SCOTUS justices better have security that equals Trump’s for the next few months. Because communists will kill to keep foreigners here. The foreigners are the CENTRAL part of their revolution. They will kill to protect it.
  • @JimFergusonUK
  • @DC_Draino
  • @GuntherEagleman
  • @DicloseTV
  • @Liz_churchill10
  • @MaryBowdenMD
  • @AlexBerenson
  • @BarronTNews_
  • @TheGrayzoneNews
OpenVAERS:  
SKirsch.com:

Stocks Modestly Higher into Final Hour on US Economic Data, Earnings Outlook Optimism, Technical Buying, Tech/Consumer Discretionary Sector Strength

Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.19 -.23%
  • US 10-Year T-Note Yield 4.14% +4.0 basis points
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 3.69% -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 102.7 USD/Metric Tonne -.7%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 27.3 euros/megawatt-hour +.7%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 11.8 +1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 30.0 +5.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 29.5 -1.3 points
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(495 of 500 reporting) +12.9% -.1 percentage point
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 305.70 +.11:  Growth Rate +13.6% unch., P/E 22.5 +.1
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.49% +1.0 basis point
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 10 reporting) +17.5% unch.
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 509.69 +.29: Growth Rate +24.2% +.1 percentage point, P/E 32.6 +.2
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .69 +3.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg Euro-Zone Financial Conditions Index 1.46 -6.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.9 unch.
  • US Yield Curve 57.5 basis points (2s/10s) -.25 basis point
  • US Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.5% -.3 percentage point
  • US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 29.8% -.9 percentage point
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.85% unch.: CPI YoY +2.96% unch.
  • 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.60 +2.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.27 unch.
  • Highest target rate probability for Jan. 28th FOMC meeting: 65.8% (-.4 percentage point) chance of 3.5%-3.75%. Highest target rate probability for March 18th meeting: 46.9%(+1.0 percentage point) chance of 3.5%-3.75%. (current target rate is 3.75-4.0%)
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +200 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -3 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +41 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my consumer discretionary/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long