BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is higher into the final hour on gains in my Semiconductor longs, Internet longs and Computer longs. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is modestly positive as the advance/decline line is higher, most sectors are gaining and volume is modestly above average. JPMorgan put out a report this morning that said Nasdaq short interest actually rose 2.4% over the last 30 days adjusting for liquidity and M&A activity, substantially above the .8% number. As well, they said short interest in semis soared 27%, led by a 456% increase in short interest in shares of Applied Materials (AMAT), even as the SOX has returned 18.3% from July lows. Biotech short interest also rose 9% despite sharp gains in biotech shares during the month. I continue to believe the bears remain extraordinarily complacent given the magnitude of the recent rally and DJIA record highs. I expect US stocks to trade modestly higher into the close from current levels on short-covering, strong profit reports, lower long-term rates and investment manager performance anxiety.
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Wednesday, October 25, 2006
Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Another Decline in Long-term Interest Rates
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