Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Thursday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Morgan Stanley(MS) said investors should bet the US dollar will rise against the Australian dollar and overcome its recent economic-related weakness. Dollar “valuations already reflect a lot of bad news,” wrote Morgan Stanley currency strategists Sophia Drossos and Yilin Nie in New York in a note to clients today. “While the possibility for further weakness remains, the bulk of depreciation is behind us.”
- The yen declined to a record low against the euro as traders took advantage of the lowest borrowing costs among major economies to buy higher-yielding currencies.
- In the end, it was Segolene Royal who lost her cool. The French Socialist presidential candidate raised her voice and accused her opponent Nicolas Sarkozy of “immorality” for presenting himself as a defender of handicapped children.
- Gold traded near a three-week low in Asia amid speculation physical demand from India will slow in the months ahead. India uses more gold than the US and China combined.
- Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s prospects of staying in office are fading after Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni offered herself as a candidate to lead their Kadima Party, allowing the ruling coalition to retain power.
- China’s property developers invested 22% more in projects last year, citing the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. The surge in investment last year came even as China’s government tried to cool the real-estate market to prevent a price bubble.
- Chris de Lavigne, global vice president of consulting at Frost & Sullivan, says the ability to make ethanol from waster “is here” now.

Wall Street Journal:
- The United Auto Workers union is preparing a final counteroffer to wage and benefit cuts proposed by bankrupt auto supplier Delphi Corp.
- PepsiCo Inc.(PEP) is starting a new advertising campaign to boost sales of Diet Pepsi as it competes with Coca-Cola’s(KO) Diet Coke.

Dow Jones:
- Dow Jones’(DJ) board won’t act on News Corp.’s $5 billion takeover bid. 52% of shareholders with voting power in the company oppose the takeover, citing a survey of the company’s controlling family, the Bancrofts.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Reiterated Buy on (SYMC), target $22.
- Reiterated Buy on (WXS), target $38.
- Reiterated Buy on (S), target $25.

Night Trading
Asian Indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.01%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.08%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Conference Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (ANDW)/.08
- (BEBE)/.13
- (CVC)/-.11
- (ELY)/.46
- (CECO)/.35
- (CBS)/.32
- (CELG)/.20
- (CKP)/.08
- (CHK)/.78
- (CXW)/.47
- (CROX)/.48
- (DF)/.45
- (DNB)/.96
- (EDS)/.21
- (EL)/.46
- (FAF)/.78
- (FSLR)/.00
- (GMST)/.05
- (GM)/.83
- (IACI)/.32
- (IP)/.40
- (IFF)/.66
- (ITG)/.54
- (JSDA)/.03
- (LF)/-.40
- (CLI)/.25
- (MSO)/-.17
- (MDR)/.75
- (MGM)/.63
- (MORN)/.36
- (NBR)/.85
- (NBL)/.99
- (OMX)/.91
- (PTEN)/.71
- (PPL)/.70
- (PSA)/1.12
- (QLGC)/.23
- (SBUX)/.19
- (STRA)/1.29
- (TK)/1.07
- (TKLC)/-.04
- (TSO)/1.88
- (TIE)/.37
- (WTW)/.63
- (WMB)/.33
- (WMS)/.34

Upcoming Splits
- (AZZ) 2-for-1

Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- Preliminary 1Q Non-farm Productivity is estimated to rise .7% versus a 1.6% gain in 4Q.
- Preliminary 1Q Unit Labor Costs are estimated to rise 3.8% versus a 6.6% gain in 4Q.
- Initial Jobless Claims are estimated to rise to 325K versus 321K the prior week.
- Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 2550K versus 2594K prior.

10:00 am EST
- ISM Non-Manufacturing for April is estimated to rise to 53.0 versus a reading of 52.4 in March.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by utility and technology stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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