Tuesday, August 06, 2013

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Rate Worries, Emerging Markets Concerns, Technical Selling, Homebuilder/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.65 +6.84%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.44 -.29%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.27 -.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.94 +4.51%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 123.0 +14.95%
  • Total Put/Call .75 -10.71%
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +20.19% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.51 +2.37%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 136.59 +1.71%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 83.50 +.44%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 308.33 +2.51%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.5 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 22.50 -.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.25 +.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +1 bp
  • Yield Curve 233.0 -1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.40/Metric Tonne +.92%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.70 +17.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -27.80 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26 +3 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -201 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -15 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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