Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Rising Long-Term Rates, Mideast Unrest, Retail/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.69 -1.48%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.32 +.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.87 +5.64%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.62 -4.54%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 82.0 -29.91%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +3.33%
  • NYSE Arms .96 -13.90% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 83.10 +1.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 149.94 +2.53%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 84.82 +1.58%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 338.08 +3.56%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 23.25 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 250.0 +3 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.80/Metric Tonne -.86%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.70 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -32.30 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.16 -1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -24 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +41 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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