Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Stable Long-Term Rates, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Transport/Commodity Sector Strength
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 14.82 -7.03%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.15 +.80%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.24 +.09%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.73 -9.50%
- ISE Sentiment Index 96.0 +21.62%
- Total Put/Call .80 -17.53%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.47 -3.40%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 144.06 -3.90%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 85.50 +.80%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 334.31 -2.23%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 19.0 +.25 bp
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 -.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1 bp
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.70/Metric Tonne -.07%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.30 -.4 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -26.40 +5.9 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 -4 bps
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +220 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical/retail sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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