Wednesday, August 07, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rate Worries, Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.05 +2.59%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.12 -1.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.29 -.11%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.52 +.58%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 128.0 +17.43%
  • Total Put/Call .98 +10.11%
  • NYSE Arms .92 -20.05% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.90 +1.66%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 138.19 +1.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 83.50 unch.
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 312.83 +1.45%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.5 unch.
  • TED Spread 22.50 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.0 +.25 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 229.0 -4 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $133.10/Metric Tonne +1.29%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.70 unch.
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -27.60 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -60 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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