Thursday, August 29, 2013

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Stable Long-Term Rates, Lower Energy Prices, Short-Covering, Homebuilding/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.62 +.79%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.66 -.12%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.84 -2.07%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 555.19 +.97%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 90.0 -53.61%
  • Total Put/Call .95 +18.75%
  • NYSE Arms 1.06 +14.62% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 82.48 -1.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 146.86 -1.39%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 85.50 unch.
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 340.79 -1.21%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.25 +1.0 bp
  • TED Spread 24.0 +1.0 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 235.0 -3 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $138.30/Metric Tonne -.14%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 30.60 +5.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.40 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 -5 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +65 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -30 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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