Friday, August 16, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Rates, Mideast Unrest, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, REIT/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.51 -1.49%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.63 -.12%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.65 +2.66%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.58 -2.84%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 -4.71%
  • Total Put/Call .96 unch.
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 +.89% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.0 +4.14%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 139.44 -.33%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 82.29 -.26%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 318.80 +3.29%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.75 +1.0 bp
  • TED Spread 22.75  +1 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.25 -.75 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 248.0 +5 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.90/Metric Tonne -2.34%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.60 -4.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -29.50 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 -1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -5 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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