Friday, August 30, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Syria Concerns, Rising Eurozone Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.20 +2.32%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.20 -.45%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.74 +.17%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.27 -.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 90.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call 1.12 +16.67%
  • NYSE Arms 1.04 -.28% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 83.81 +1.62%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 150.21 +2.28%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 87.50 +2.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 349.54 +2.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 24.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 238.0 +3 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.70/Metric Tonne -.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 30.80 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.90 +4.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.11 -1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -65 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +6 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail/tech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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