Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Lower Long-Term Rates, Earnings Optimism, Short-Covering, Homebuilding/REIT Sector Strength

Click Here for Today's Market Take.

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.95 -.99%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.06 +.29%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.27 -1.53%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.03 -.25%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 118.0 +11.32%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -1.10%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 -15.65% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 82.26 -2.37%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 146.25 +.46%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 83.50 +1.83%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 326.19 -1.40%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.75 -.5 bp
  • TED Spread 22.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.25 -.25 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 247.0 -5 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $139.0/Metric Tonne -.14%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.20 -.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -31.50 -4.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 +3 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +19 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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