Thursday, June 11, 2015

Stocks Higher into Afternoon on Lower Long-Term Rates, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Buying, Transport/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.62 -4.64%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.08 -.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.57 +.74%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.67 +.33%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 52.0 -52.59%
  • Total Put/Call .84 +37.70%
  • NYSE Arms 1.14 +133.69% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.46 -1.12%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,526.0 +.02%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.54 -.81%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.08 -.92%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.82 +.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 310.94 -1.93%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.26 +.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 -3.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 167.0 -8.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $65.61/Metric Tonne +.34%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -37.70 +3.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 5.1 +1.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.80 -3.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +126 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -103 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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