Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Lower Long-Term Rates, Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Food/HMO Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.02 -2.40%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.78 -.42%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.35 -1.27%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.86 -.74%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 +1.28%
  • Total Put/Call .73 -17.98%
  • NYSE Arms .92 -48.17% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.08 -.45%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,643.0 +1.21%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 86.10 +2.92%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.68 +2.50%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.14 +.93%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 320.99 +.02%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.43 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 163.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.91/Metric Tonne -2.09%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -32.90 -2.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -.6 -3.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.80 -1.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 +4.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +42 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -251 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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