Friday, June 26, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on China Bubble Bursting Fears, Greece Debt Deal Worries, Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.74 +5.21%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.31 -.26%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.78 +1.74%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.71 +.50%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 78.0 -13.33%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +.93%
  • NYSE Arms .84 -32.92% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.40 +.21%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,102.0 +2.81%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.74 -.53%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.18 -2.59%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.12 +1.24%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 303.64 +.77%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.86 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.25 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.50 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 177.0 +6.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.01/Metric Tonne -.29%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -30.60 +2.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 7.4 -2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.80 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.94 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +199 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -629 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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