Monday, June 15, 2015

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Greek Debt Deal Fears, Surging European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, China Bubble Concerns, Tech/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.21 +10.38%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.36 +.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.46 +1.07%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.96 +1.34%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 77.0 -33.04%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -17.14%
  • NYSE Arms 1.50 -19.06% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.73 +3.20%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,617.0 +1.28%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 83.65 +6.53%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.98 +8.95%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.34 +1.29%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 320.88 +2.67%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.42 +.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.75 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 166.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $64.25/Metric Tonne -1.35%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -30.40 +2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 3.3 -1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.30 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -12 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -268 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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